Printed on October tenth, 2024 by Aristofanis Papadatos

Agency Capital Property Belief (FRMUF) has three interesting funding traits:

#1: It’s a REIT so it has a positive tax construction and pays out the vast majority of its earnings as dividends.Associated:  Listing of publicly traded REITs

#2: It’s a high-yield inventory primarily based on its 8.9% dividend yield.Associated: Listing of 5%+ yielding shares

#3: It pays dividends month-to-month as a substitute of quarterly.Associated: Listing of month-to-month dividend shares

You’ll be able to obtain our full Excel spreadsheet of all month-to-month dividend shares (together with metrics that matter like dividend yield and payout ratio) by clicking on the hyperlink beneath:

 

Agency Capital Property Belief’s trifecta of favorable tax standing as a REIT, a excessive dividend yield, and a month-to-month dividend make it interesting to particular person traders.

However there’s extra to the corporate than simply these elements. Hold studying this text to be taught extra about Agency Capital Property Belief.

Enterprise Overview

Agency Capital Property Belief is targeted on creating long-term shareholder worth by means of capital preservation and disciplined investing.

In partnership with administration and trade leaders, the REIT co-owns a diversified property portfolio that features multi-residential, industrial, internet lease comfort retail and core service supplier skilled house.

Agency Capital Property Belief has a historical past of 36 years, with presence in the actual property markets of Canada and the U.S. As its administration straight invests in some belongings of the REIT, its pursuits are aligned with these of the shareholders.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Agency Capital Property Belief at the moment has 64 business properties with a gross leasable space of 4.4 million sq. toes, pursuits in 5 residence complexes, and 4 manufactured housing communities.

Because of its stable investing technique, Agency Capital Property Belief proved resilient all through the coronavirus disaster. In sharp distinction to many different REITs, which reduce their dividends, Agency Capital Property Belief stored rising its dividend in its native foreign money (CAD).

Agency Capital Property Belief at the moment enjoys first rate enterprise momentum however it’s dealing with a headwind from almost 23-year excessive rates of interest, which have drastically elevated the curiosity expense of the REIT. In 2023, Agency Capital Property Belief noticed its funds from operations (FFO) per unit lower 43% vs. 2021, partly resulting from a 50% improve in curiosity expense.

Luckily for the REIT, the Fed simply started decreasing rates of interest and expects to cut back them additional, from 4.75%-5.0% to about 2.75%-3.0% after 2026. If the central financial institution executes as per its steering, it’ll present a robust tailwind to the outcomes of Agency Capital Property Belief.

Development Prospects

Agency Capital Property Belief goals to develop through strategic accretive acquisitions. It companions with sturdy trade leaders, who retain property administration, and likewise executes partial acquisitions.

Agency Capital Property Belief can boast of getting a defensive enterprise mannequin because of the excessive credit score profile of its tenants. Then again, traders must be conscious that it is a slow-growth REIT.

Supply: Investor Presentation

Since its inception, in 1988, Agency Capital Property Belief has grown its internet asset worth per unit by solely 57%. In different phrases, the REIT has grown its internet asset worth per unit by 1.3% per yr on common since its inception.

You will need to observe that the lackluster efficiency document has resulted partly from the strengthening of the USD vs. CAD. Because the Canadian greenback has depreciated by about 18% during the last decade, it’s evident that Agency Capital Property Belief has confronted a robust foreign money headwind in its outcomes during the last decade.

Furthermore, central banks raised rates of interest aggressively within the final two years to be able to cool the economic system and restore inflation to their goal vary. Larger rates of interest have elevated the curiosity expense of Agency Capital Property Belief by 50% within the final two years.

As inflation appears to have lastly moderated, central banks are more likely to scale back rates of interest within the upcoming years.

Given the stable enterprise mannequin of Agency Capital Property Belief but in addition its lackluster efficiency document and its foreign money danger, we count on the REIT to develop its FFO per unit by about 2.0% per yr on common over the following 5 years.

Dividend & Valuation Evaluation

Agency Capital Property Belief is at the moment providing an above common dividend yield of 8.9%. It’s an attention-grabbing candidate for income-oriented traders, however the latter must be conscious that the dividend could fluctuate considerably over time because of the fluctuation of the trade charge between the Canadian greenback and the USD.

Furthermore, the REIT has an elevated payout ratio of 83%, which drastically reduces the margin of security of the dividend. Moreover, the REIT has an curiosity protection ratio of solely 2.3. This protection ratio is low, notably given the headwind from excessive rates of interest.

Consequently, traders mustn’t count on significant dividend progress going ahead. It’s also vital to notice that the dividend has been frozen during the last three years. Total, the dividend could also be reduce within the occasion of an unexpected downturn, reminiscent of a deep recession.

We additionally observe that Agency Capital Property Belief has a fabric debt load in its stability sheet. Its internet debt is at the moment standing at $247 million, which is 160% of the market capitalization of the inventory. The excessive dividend payout ratio, the low curiosity protection ratio, and the fabric debt load of the REIT considerably scale back its resilience to a possible future recession.

In reference to the valuation, Agency Capital Property Belief is at the moment buying and selling for 9.2 occasions its FFO per unit within the final 12 months. Given the excessive debt load of the REIT, we assume a good price-to-FFO ratio of 10.0 for the inventory.

The present FFO a number of is barely decrease than our assumed truthful price-to-FFO ratio. If the inventory trades at its truthful valuation stage in 5 years, it’ll get pleasure from a 1.6% annualized acquire in its returns.

Taking into consideration the two% annual FFO-per-unit progress, the 8.9% dividend and a 1.6% annualized growth of valuation stage, Agency Capital Property Belief might provide a ten.4% common annual complete return over the following 5 years.

That is a gorgeous anticipated return, although we suggest ready for a greater entry level to be able to improve the margin of security in addition to the anticipated return.

Furthermore, the inventory is appropriate just for the traders who’re comfy with the chance that comes from the excessive payout ratio and the fabric debt load of the belief.

Ultimate Ideas

Agency Capital Property Belief has a stable enterprise mannequin because of the competence of its administration and the alignment of pursuits between its administration and its shareholders, as administration invests within the properties of the REIT. This can be a important benefit for the shareholders.

Regardless of its excessive payout ratio of 83%, the inventory is providing an exceptionally excessive dividend yield of 8.9% and therefore it’s a gorgeous candidate for the portfolios of income-oriented traders.

Then again, traders ought to pay attention to the dangers associated to the excessive payout ratio and the leveraged stability sheet of the belief. If inflation surges once more, then excessive rates of interest will drastically burden the REIT by means of excessive curiosity expense.

Subsequently, solely the traders who’re assured that inflation is not going to get well ought to contemplate buying this inventory.

Furthermore, Agency Capital Property Belief is characterised by extraordinarily low buying and selling quantity. Which means it’s laborious to determine or promote a big place on this inventory.

Further Studying

Don’t miss the sources beneath for extra month-to-month dividend inventory investing analysis.

And see the sources beneath for extra compelling funding concepts for dividend progress shares and/or high-yield funding securities.

Thanks for studying this text. Please ship any suggestions, corrections, or inquiries to assist@suredividend.com.

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