Merchants,
Final week, the highest commerce concept that I shared in IWM performed out extraordinarily effectively and was my greatest swing commerce of the week. In my newest Inside Entry assembly, I reviewed it intimately, going over my executions and thought course of.
So stick round as I share my high concepts for the upcoming buying and selling week. I’ll go over my commerce plans, thought course of, and entry and exit plans.
Beginning with small caps, but once more, for a 3rd straight week.
Continuation in Small-Caps (IWM)
Final week’s bounce-long swing performed out exceptionally effectively per the watchlist plan. Nevertheless, a brand new setup presents itself going ahead: a consolidation breakout for a second leg greater. After the bounce earlier within the week, the IWM has spent a while displaying relative power and consolidating close to highs, establishing a consolidation breakout alternative.
*Please be aware that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t mirror the influence, if any, of sure market components resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Right here’s my plan:
For entry, I’m in search of both a fast wash-out decrease and reclaim, thereby confirming a better low versus Friday’s low. Alternatively, because the IWM closed above the week’s resistance on Friday, I’m in search of a prolonged maintain above and would goal an intraday breakout for entry versus the day’s low.
After that, I might goal related measured targets as I did with the earlier swing in IWM, utilizing ATR targets and higher-high extensions. My first goal could be a brand new 52-week excessive and extension above the earlier excessive of $226.64. After that, I might look to path utilizing the identical method as outlined final week: 5-minute greater highs to scale out and better lows to path, focusing on a multi-day leg greater.
In fact, will probably be crucial to gauge total market sentiment, internals, and relative power.
Reduction Rally in Semis
The final time we noticed a selloff towards the 200-day mark in SOXL, we bounced sharply as soon as we broke the steep selloff’s downtrend over a number of days. I’m not saying the identical factor will occur; nonetheless, if SOXL / the sector can agency up over its multi-day VWAP and start to base above short-term / the prior week’s key resistance ranges, I’ll look to provoke a protracted on the correct aspect of the downtrend.
*Please be aware that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t mirror the influence, if any, of sure market components resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Right here’s my plan:
SOXL has now fallen over 40% from its 52-week highs and tapped its 200-day on Thursday. For the upcoming week, If SOXL can break its steep downtrend and base above key multiday resistance, round $43, adopted by a push greater to interrupt its downtrend, I’ll look to place lengthy with a cease on the LOD.
I might look to carry this place for 2 to a few days, trailing utilizing greater lows on the 5-minute timeframe or the prior day’s low, relying on the worth motion and RVOL of the bounce/transfer. My first goal to lock in positive factors and start trailing my cease could be a measured transfer towards prior resistance and a 1 ATR up transfer between $47 and $50, with an final goal being a quick transfer towards $52.
Extra Small-Cap Concepts:
WINT: Small-cap liquidity traps have been taking part in out extraordinarily effectively with T+1. WINT had a powerful shut on Friday. Subsequently, I shall be monitoring this going ahead for a lure and reclaim over $8 and potential squeeze out over final week’s highs. As soon as it exhausts, I’ll shift my consideration to the quick aspect. This one is a day dealer, not a swing candidate, much like my ideas on SERV the prior week.
*Please be aware that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t mirror the influence, if any, of sure market components resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
BFI: Friday noticed an exquisite push and squeeze out, adopted by an ideal quick alternative as soon as the bottom was confirmed with the decrease excessive close to $0.65. I’ll set alerts within the identify in case it pops again towards $0.60 – $0.65 for a failed transfer greater and bull-trap, in search of a brief versus that failed excessive and a transfer again towards $0.40.
*Please be aware that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t mirror the influence, if any, of sure market components resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
POAI: This was one of many high intraday short-opps from final week concerning small caps. Alerts are set within the identify in case it has a fast liquidity transfer again towards $2+ and fails for a brief again towards the low $1s.
*Please be aware that the costs and different statistics on this web page are hypothetical, and don’t mirror the influence, if any, of sure market components resembling liquidity, slippage and commissions.
Vital Disclosures
